An empty small-apartment dining table with a single window onto a costly-looking skyline.

Data

Measuring affordability without fooling ourselves

Affordability looks precise because it is a ratio. The ratio is only as honest as its numerator, its denominator, and its geography.

By Stephen S. JemalPublished: 16 September 20269 minute read
AffordabilityHome PricesRent

What You'll Learn

  • Index versus multiple versus rent-to-income burden
  • Why 2015 = 100 is not a cost of living number
  • How to compare countries without mixing incompatible series
  • What this site will not publish

Housing arguments go wrong when they treat every number as the same kind of number. 'Unaffordable' is a conclusion. Affordability is a method.

Definition

Price-to-income index

In the OECD housing-prices dataset used on this site, price-to-income is nominal house prices divided by nominal disposable income per head, expressed as an index with 2015 = 100.[1] It answers whether prices have outpaced income since the base year. It does not answer 'how many years of salary is this house?'

Definition

Rent overburden

OECD describes low-income tenant households as overburdened when they spend more than 40% of disposable income on rent.[2] Other agencies use 30%. Mixing the two without a note is a common way to manufacture a more frightening chart.

What can be compared

Countries inside the same OECD series can be compared as index movements. That is why this site's first comparison chart uses Canada, the United States, Australia, the OECD average, and the United Kingdom on 2015 = 100.[1][3]

What cannot be compared without a warning

  • A UK HPI average price in pounds and a U.S. median sales price in dollars
  • Asking prices from property portals and official transaction indices
  • A UN adequacy headcount and an OECD rent-burden share
  • A political housing target and a completions total

How this publication will behave

Every statistic on this site should carry a value, a unit, a geography, a period, a source, and a retrieval date. If those cannot be filled, the number is not ready. Demo data, if used in interface tests, will be marked Demo Data in the open. It will not appear in The State of Housing as if it were fact.

Key Takeaways

  • OECD price-to-income is an index, 2015 = 100.
  • Rent overburden here follows the OECD 40% of disposable income threshold unless another source is named.
  • UK HPI pounds and Canadian dollar average prices are not convertible into a world ranking without a method.
  • When methods diverge, we explain rather than force a chart.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the OECD price-to-income figure a 5x or 8x income multiple?

No. The OECD price-to-income indicator used here is an index with 2015 set to 100. A value of 128 means prices have outpaced disposable income per head by 28% relative to 2015. It is not the same as a city's median price divided by median household income.

Sources & Data

  1. [1] Tier 1 — Primary

    OECD. Housing prices indicators.

    Accessed: 16 September 2026
    Type: dataset
    Scope: OECD countries

    Supports: Definition of OECD price-to-income and price-to-rent indices.

    Open original source
  2. [2] Tier 1 — Primary

    OECD. Affordable housing.

    Accessed: 16 September 2026
    Type: research
    Scope: OECD countries

    Supports: 40% rent-to-income overburden threshold for low-income tenants.

    Open original source
  3. [3] Tier 1 — Primary

    OECD. HM1.2 House prices.

    Dataset period: through early 2025 where available
    Accessed: 16 September 2026
    Type: dataset
    Scope: OECD countries

    Supports: Historical movement of OECD house prices and price-to-income.

    Open original source

About Stephen S. Jemal

Stephen S. Jemal is a Brooklyn-born entrepreneur, the founder of Nobody Beats The Wiz, and President and CEO of JemRock Organization LLC. He writes on housing as a business operator, not as an academic economist.

Full author page

Related Research